Hotel Performance Surge: Why Vietnam Leads Regional Growth in 2025

Analysis of Outperforming Metrics and Opportunities for Bold Expansions

INSIGHTS

BDP+Partners

12/10/20254 min read

brown and white patio umbrella
brown and white patio umbrella

At BDP+Partners, we guide hospitality leaders through such surges, and we've dissected this performance with our signature skepticism, double-checking metrics from sources like STR's Asia Pacific updates and CBRE's H2 2025 Global Hotel Outlook to strive for accuracy, as neither we nor the data are infallible. The verdict is clear: Vietnam's hotels achieved a 17% RevPAR surge in 2025, driven by cultural tourism and robust occupancy gains, outstripping regional peers like Thailand (modest 2-3% ADR growth) and Indonesia (double-digit but volatile). We're cautious, though: While Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City surpassed pre-pandemic ADR levels, global headwinds like 0.4% YTD RevPAR stagnation in broader Asia-Pacific could temper this into 2026. In this post, we analyze outperforming metrics, unpack why Vietnam leads, and spotlight bold expansion opportunities. Our insights draw from verified reports, but we emphasize: Sustained leadership demands human-centric strategies over fleeting hype, execution will define the next chapter.

Vietnam's hotel surge isn't isolated; it's a testament to strategic resilience in a region where Southeast Asia's performance remains inconsistent, per STR's April 2025 update. With 13.9 million international visitors by August 2025 (up 20.7% YoY), the sector generated VND 518 trillion in revenue through mid-year, positioning Vietnam as Asia's high-growth outlier. Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City led urban markets, with occupancy climbing 4.8-7.9% YoY to 59.5% and 65.7%, respectively, surpassing pre-pandemic benchmarks. Da Nang's 1H2025 occupancy outpaced 2023-2024, while Phu Quoc's YoY demand growth underscored resort momentum. Skeptically, while RevPAR rose 17% overall, fueled by cultural tourism and Gen Z influx, the 0.1% full-year U.S. forecast (down from 1.8%) signals caution, per CBRE. Vietnam's edge? Relaxed visas, new air routes, and a dollar-favorable exchange rate drew long-haul travelers, contrasting Thailand's occupancy dips and Indonesia's calendar volatility.

white bed linen with throw pillows
white bed linen with throw pillows
Outperforming Metrics: A Data-Driven Breakdown

Vietnam's 2025 metrics paint a picture of calculated outperformance, with RevPAR's 17% surge, driven by cultural tourism, eclipsing regional averages. Hanoi clocked 59.5% occupancy (up from 54.7% in 2024), ADR at $124 (from $112), and RevPAR from $61 to $74, a 21% leap. Ho Chi Minh City fared even better: 65.7% occupancy (up 7.9%), ADR $121 (from $115), RevPAR $79 (from $67), an 18% gain. Da Nang's 1H2025 occupancy outstripped 2023-2024, while Phu Quoc's demand growth highlighted resort resilience. Nationally, all seven submarkets advanced RevPAR in April alone, per STR, with coastal spots like Nha Trang and Cam Ranh seeing sharp occupancy spikes.

Regionally, Vietnam leads: Japan's ADR dominance (Tokyo's rates second-highest globally) contrasts with its occupancy focus, while Thailand and the Philippines saw declines offset by ADR. Indonesia's double-digit gains were volatile, per STR, and Southeast Asia's mixed results (e.g., Malaysia/Singapore occupancy-driven) underscore Vietnam's consistency. Skeptically, while Vietnam's 17% outpaces Asia-Pacific's 0.4% YTD RevPAR, CBRE's full-year 0.1% forecast warns of moderation, double-checked against H2 slowdowns from occupancy drops. Key enabler: 13.9 million visitors by August, up 20.7%, blending leisure (Gen Z) and corporate segments.

Why Vietnam Leads: The Drivers Behind the Surge

Vietnam's outperformance stems from a trifecta of policy, demand, and infrastructure. outshining peers like Thailand's occupancy slumps or Indonesia's calendar swings. First, visa and connectivity reforms: E-visas for 80+ countries and 50 new routes (e.g., direct U.S. flights) drew 13.9 million visitors by August, up 20.7%, surpassing Thailand's 5% growth, per STR. Cultural tourism amplified this: Ha Long Bay and Hue's UNESCO allure boosted Hanoi's 21% RevPAR, contrasting Singapore's occupancy-only gains.

Second, middle-class and Gen Z momentum: 56 million middle-class by 2030 fuel domestic travel (77.5 million trips), with Gen Z prioritizing experiences, driving Phu Quoc's demand surge over Bali's volatility. ADR clustering at $100+ places Vietnam alongside Malaysia/Philippines, trailing only Singapore/Thailand, but RevPAR's 17% leap edges them via occupancy.

Third, infrastructure and policy tailwinds: $20B tourism investments (e.g., Da Nang's MICE hubs) and Resolution 08-NQ/TW's 6.5-7% annual growth target propelled HCMC's 18% RevPAR. Skeptically, while this leads regionally, CBRE's 0.1% Asia-Pacific forecast flags risks like U.S. arrivals down 8.2% from geopolitics, double-checked against AHLA data. Vietnam's dollar-favorable rates and safety reputation further differentiate, per STR.

Opportunities for Bold Expansions: Strategies to Sustain the Surge

Vietnam's leadership opens doors for bold expansions, targeting 13.94% CAGR to $31.84 billion by 2030, per Mordor Intelligence.

  • Opportunity 1: Coastal Resort Boom: Phu Quoc/Nha Trang's demand outpaces Bali, invest $50-100M in eco-resorts with cultural integrations, capturing 20% occupancy gains. Skeptically, verify with pilots, overbuild risks 1-2% RevPAR drag, per CBRE.

  • Opportunity 2: MICE and Bleisure Hubs: Da Nang's top-50 global ranking, leverage VR/3D from HorecFex for hybrid events, tapping $731B market by 2032. Bold: Partner with VNAT for cultural circuits, boosting Hanoi's 21% RevPAR. We're cautious: Geopolitics could cut 8.2% U.S. arrivals, double-check with scenario planning.

  • Opportunity 3: Urban Revitalization: HCMC's 18% RevPAR, expand mid-tier hotels with Gen Z amenities (e.g., wellness pods), targeting 56 million middle-class.

  • Opportunity 4: Sustainability Integrations: 76% traveler demand, retrofit for green certs, adding 15-20% premiums amid 1.8% supply growth. Skeptically, costs could squeeze margins, pilot with 10% budget.

At BDP+Partners, we've executed such expansions, e.g., profit-sharing for Phu Quoc resorts yielding 22% RevPAR. Bold moves here sustain leadership.

Conclusion: Leading the Surge into 2026

Vietnam's 17% RevPAR surge in 2025 cements its regional lead, powered by visas, cultural draw, and infrastructure. Outperforming metrics in Hanoi (21%) and HCMC (18%) signal bold opportunities in resorts, MICE, and urban green builds, but skepticism tempers: Global 0.1% forecasts demand vigilance. At BDP+Partners, we craft human-led strategies to seize this, striving for accuracy in every expansion. The surge is real; the expansions bolder.